climate change projections

The Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub has teamed up with Gondwana Rainforests World Heritage Area managers to co-produce climate data that will enable them plan and respond to current and future climate impacts.

In this webinar, Melinda Laidlaw (Qld Department of Environment and Science) and Sugata Narsey (Bureau of Meteorology) discuss the climate change information knowledge gaps identified for the Gondwana Rainforests WHA, and demonstrate how the information resulting from this collaboration can inform adaptation planning.

Mathematical models are used to project the Earth’s future under a warming world, but a group of the latest models have included unexpectedly high values for “climate sensitivity”.

New projections show a clear trend towards more dangerous conditions for bushfires in Australia into the future, as well as increased pyroconvection risk factors for some regions of southern Australia.

New ESCC Hub research published in Nature Climate Change  examines future high monthly mean temperature records that will be so extreme they will not have been experienced previously. It provides projections of the rate of extreme temperature record setting and record ‘smashing’ (when a record exceeds the previous record by a large amount) over the coming century.

The pattern of El Niño has changed dramatically in recent years, according to the first seasonal record distinguishing different types of El Niño events over the last 400 years.

Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub researchers are working collaboratively with other research organisations to better understand how and why marine heatwaves are changing and their impacts on ecosystems and industries.

In this webinar, Dr Michael Grose talks about climate change projections research undertaken by the Earth System and Climate Change Hub, how climate projections have been produced in the past and where they could go in the future.