PROJECT 2.7: Refining Australia’s water futures
Information about, and analyses of, future water availability are critical for water resources planning and investment decisions; however, consistent projections for a range of hydroclimate variables (e.g. rainfall, surface run off, lateral water flow, soil moisture) and drought metrics are not currently available.
We’re working with state and federal government and water managers to identify gaps in hydroclimate metrics and improve climate-water modelling. Building on existing science, will develop methods to deliver next generation projections of future water availability and hydrologic variables or metrics important to the water and related sectors.
This will improve Australia’s ability to assess the impact of climate change on Australia’s hydroclimates and water resources, and inform planning and climate change adaptation in the water and related sectors.
For more information
Dr Dewi Kirono, CSIRO
This project is contributing to meeting the following climate challenges:
Improved modelling developed in this project will enhance the quality of projections that are available to water managers and planners.
Agricultural and environmental system managers and planners will be able to use projections developed from work in this project to make more effective management and investment decisions.
Publications and papers
- Chiew FHS, Zheng H, Potter NJ, Ekstrom M, Grose MR, Kirono DGC, Zhang L, Vaze J. 2017. Future runoff projections for Australia and science challenges in producing next generation projections. Proceedings of the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, December 2017, pp. 1745–1751 | Conference proceedings
- Ekström M, Gutmann ED, Wilby RL, Tye MR, Kirono DGC. 2018. Robustness of hydroclimate metrics for climate change impact research. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, doi:10.1002/wat2.1288 | Full paper
- Kirono DGC, Grose MR, Hennessy KJ. 2017. Increasing risk of months with low rainfall and high temperature in southeast Australia for the past 150 years. Climate Risk Management, 16, 10–21, doi:10.1016/j.crm.2017.04.001 | Full paper