Risk assessment of future carbon sources and sinks
Policy makers need information on carbon and greenhouse gases so they can develop successful national policies and international engagement to achieve climate mitigation targets.
We’re assessing the potential for current carbon abatement by revegetation and conservation in Australia, with an emphasis on their potential vulnerability under future climate change, and long-term carbon-climate feedbacks.
We’re also developing data products that show national and global carbon budget trajectories (carbon dioxide and methane), and how these are tracking on the pathways needed for global climate stabilisation by the end of the 21st century.
This project supports Australia’s involvement in the Global Carbon Project.
For more information
Dr Pep Canadell, CSIRO
This project is contributing to meeting the following climate challenge:
Research in this project will assess the potential of land-based carbon sequestration and its vulnerability under future climates. It will also track Australian and global carbon budgets. This work will monitor carbon budgets against agreed global targets, and support the Australian Government in achieving its mitigation targets.
Publications and papers
- Cheng L, Zhang L, Wang Y-P, Canadell JG, Chiew FHS, Beringer J, Li L, Miralles DG, Piao S, Zhang Y. 2017. Recent increases in terrestrial carbon uptake at little cost to the water cycle. Nature Communications, 8, doi:10.1038/s41467-017-00114-5
- Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Canadell JG, Williams CA, Wang H, Raupach M, Collatz GJ. 2016. Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake. Nature Communications, doi: doi:10.1038/ncomms13428
- Le Quéré C, et al. 2016. Global Carbon Budget 2016. Earth System Science Data, 8, 605–649, doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
- Peters GP, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Fuss S, Jackson RB, Korsbakken JI, Le Quéré C, Nakicenovic N. 2017. Key indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement. Nature Climate Change, 7, 118–122, doi:10.1038/nclimate3202
- Saunois M, et al. 2016. The global methane budget 2000–2012. Earth System Science Data, 8, 697–751, doi:10.5194/essd-8-697-2016
- Saunois M, Jackson RB, Bousquet P, Poulter B, Canadell JG. 2016. The growing role of methane in anthropogenic climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 120207, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/120207
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