Coastal hazards in a variable and changing climate
Over $226 billion in Australian assets could be at risk from a 1.1 m increase in sea level (a high-end projection for 2100), as a result of coastal erosion and inundation. However, the projected changes and their coastal impacts remain uncertain and controversial.
We’re improving our understanding of past coastal stressors (sea level, storm surges and waves) to develop projections for the future and the physical impact these changes might have. Our research will ensure that Australians can plan effectively for coastal change.
For more information
Dr Kathleen McInnes, CSIRO
This project is contributing to meeting the following climate challenge:
The sea level projections and analysis of extreme events and wave conditions developed in this project are critical inputs to improved coastal planning.
Publications and papers
- Chen X, Zhang X, Church JA, King MA, Watson CS, Monselesan D, Legresy B, Harig C. 2017. The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993–2014. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate3325
- Lyu K, Zhang X, Church JA, Hu J, Yu J-Y. 2017. Distinguishing basin-scale modes of the quasi-decadal and multi-decadal sea level variations in the Pacific, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0004.1
- Wu Q, Zhang X, Church JA, Hu J. 2017. Changes and variability of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific during the altimeter era, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1002/2016JC012345