Regional climate projections science, information and services
Credible and salient climate projections are necessary to underpin adaptation activities. However, there are a few areas where uncertainties remain large, data are inadequate for impact assessment, and uptake has been limited. Furthermore, a new set of climate simulations are due in 2018–19, so we need to begin development of new projections that represent the state of the art.
We’re undertaking a number of activities to enhance the utility and uptake of regional climate projections to Australia. We’re developing improved climate products and services for stakeholders, so they can readily access the information they need for adaptation and other climate-related activities. We’re constraining uncertainty and improving confidence in projections, and we’re laying the groundwork for the next generation of regional projections.
For more information
Dr Michael Grose, CSIRO
This project is contributing to meeting the following climate challenges:
The regional projections developed in this project will provide water managers with better access to a range of web tools, data, guidance material, case studies and training to support decision making. Where possible, uncertainties will be constrained. This will complement work done in the Australia’s water futures project.
Primary producers, conservation managers and natural resource managers will make better-informed management decisions using the regional projections developed in this project.
As a result of work undertaken in this project, disaster risk managers will have better access to a range of web tools, data, guidance material, case studies and training to support decision making. Where possible, uncertainties will be constrained. This will complement work done in the extreme weather projections project.
Project publications and papers
- Grose MR, Risbey JS, Whetton PH. 2016. Tracking regional temperature projections from the early 1990s in light of variations in regional warming, including ‘warming holes’. Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1840-9