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2021

  • Abram NJ, Henley BJ,Sen Gupta A, Lippmann TJR, Clarke H, Dowdy AJ, Sharples JJ, Nolan RH, Zhang T, Wooster MJ,  Wurtzel JB, Meissner KJ, Pitman AJ, Ukkola AM, Murphy BP, Tapper NJ, Boer MM. 2021. Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia, Communications Earth & Environment, 2(8), doi: 10.1038/s43247-020-00065-8 | Full paper
  • Black et al. 2021. Australian northwest cloudbands and their relationship to atmospheric rivers and precipitation. Monthly Weather Review. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0308.1 | Abstract
  • Catto JL, Dowdy A. 2021. Understanding compound hazards from a weather system perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2021.100313 | Full paper
  • Cowley R, Killick RE, Boyer T, Gouretski V, Reseghetti F, Kizu S, Palmer MD, Cheng L, Storto A, Le Menn M, Simoncelli S, Macdonald AM, Domingues CM. 2021 International Quality-controlled Ocean Database (IQuOD) v0.1: the temperature uncertainty specification. Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.689695 | Full paper
  • Deo A, Chand SS, Ramsay H, Holbrook NJ, McGree S, Magee A, Bell S, Titimaea M, Haruhiru A, Malsale P, Mulitalo S, Daphne A, Prakash B, Vainikolo V, Koshiba S. 2021. Tropical cyclone contribution to extreme rainfall over southwest Pacific Island nations. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05680-5 | Full paper
  • Keen A, Blockley E, Bailey DA, Boldingh Debernard J, Bushuk M, Delhaye S, Docquier D, Feltham D, Massonnet F, O’Farrell S, Ponsoni L, Rodriguez JM, Schroeder D, Swart N, Toyoda T, Tsujino H, Vancoppenolle M, Wyser K. 2021. An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models, Cryosphere, 15(2), pp. 951-982 doi: 10.5194/tc-15-951-2021 | Full paper
  • Le Quere et al. 2021. Fossil fuel CO2 emissions in the pre-COVID era. Nature Climate Change, 11, pp. 197–199, doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01001-0 | Full paper
  • O’Grady JG, Hemer MA, McInnes KL, Trenham CE, Stephenson AG. 2021. Projected incremental changes to extreme wind-driven wave heights for the twenty-first century. Science Reports, 11(8826), doi:10.1038/s41598-021-87358-w | Full paperPepler A and Dowdy A. 2021. Fewer deep cyclones projected for the midlatitudes in a warming climate, but with more intense rainfall. Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf528 | Full paper
  • Oliver ECJ, Benthuysen JA, Darmaraki S, Donat MG, Hobday AJ, Holbrook J, Schlegel R, Sen Gupta A. 2021. Marine heatwaves. Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, 1-26, doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144 | Abstract
  • Marin M, Feng M, Phillips HE, Bindoff NL. 2021. A Global, Multiproduct Analysis of Coastal Marine Heatwaves: Distribution, Characteristics, and Long‐Term Trends, Journal Of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 126 (2), doi:10.1029/2020JC016708 | Abstract
  • Morris RL, La Peyre MK, Webb BM, Marshall DA, Bilkovic DM, Cebrian J, McClenachan G, Kibler KM, Walters LJ, Bushek. 2021. Large-scale variation in wave attenuation of oyster reef living shorelines and the influence of inundation duration. Ecological Applications, 31(6), doi: 10.1002/eap.2382 | Full paper
  • Pepler A and Dowdy A. 2021. Intense east coast lows and associated rainfall in eastern Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 71(1), doi: 10.1071/ES20013 | Full paper
  • Sen Gupta A, Jucker M, England MH. 2021. Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies. Geophysical Research Letters, (48), doi: 10.1029/2020GL090849 | Pre-print version. An edited version is published by American Geophysical Union | Abstract
  • Sullivan A, Zhong W, Borzelli GLE, et al. 2021. Generation of westerly wind bursts by forcing outside the tropics. Scientific Reports. 11 (912), doi:10.1038/s41598-020-79655-7 | Full paper
  • Tan Z, Reseghetti F, Abraham J, Cowley R, Chen K, Zhu J, Zhang B, Cheng L. 2021. Examining the Influence of Recording System on the Pure Temperature Error in XBT Data. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-20-0136.1 | Abstract
  • Wang G, Cai W, Santoso A. 2021. Simulated Thermocline Tilt Over the Tropical Indian Ocean and Its Influence on Future Sea Surface Temperature Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, doi:10.1029/2020GL091902 | Full paper
  • Wang G, Hope P, Lim E, Hendon HH, Arblaster JM. 2021. An Initialized Attribution Method for Extreme Events on Subseasonal to Seasonal Time Scales. Journal of Climate, pp. 1453-1465 | Abstract

2020

  • Arroyo MC, Shadwick EH, Tilbrook B, Rintoul SR, Kusahara K. 2020. A continental shelf pump for CO2 on the Adélie Land coast, East Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2020JC016302, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016302 | Full paper
  • Bestley S, van Wijk E, Rosenberg M, Eriksen R, Corney S, Tattersall K, Rintoul S. 2020. Ocean circulation and frontal structure near the southern Kerguelen Plateau: The physical context for the Kerguelen Axis ecosystem study. Deep Sea Research Part II, doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2018.07.013 | Abstract
  • Bell SS, Chand SS, Tory KJ, Ye H, Turville. 2020. North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone activity in CMIP5 experiments: Future projections using a model-independent detection and tracking scheme. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.6594 | Abstract
  • Bell SS, Chand SS, Turville C. 2020. Projected changes in ENSO driven regional tropical cyclone tracks, Climate Dynamics, 54(3-4), pp. 2533-2559, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05129-1 | Full paper
  • Bi D, Dix M, Marsland S, O’Farrell S, Sullivan A, Bodman R, Law  R, Harman I, Srbinovsky J, Rashid  H, Dobrohotoff, Mackallah C, Yan H, Hirst A, Savita A, Dias F, Woodhouse M, FiedlerR and Heerdegen A. 2020. Configuration and spin-up of ACCESS-CM2, the new generation Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Coupled Model, Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 70(1), doi: 10.1071/ES19040 | Full paper
  • Bodman RW, Karoly DK, Dix MR, Harman IN, Srbinovski J, Dobrohotoff PB, Mackallah C. 2020. Evaluation of CMIP6 AMIP climate simulations with the ACCESS-AM2 model, Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 70(1), pp 166-179, doi: 10.1071/ES19033 | Full paper
  • Cai W, Ng B, Geng T, Wu L, Santoso A, McPhaden MJ. 2020. Butterfly effect and a self-modulating El Niño response to global warming. Nature, 585, 68-73, doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2641-x | Abstract
  • Cai W, Yang K, Wu L, Huang G, Santoso A, Ng B, Wang G, Yamagata T. 2020. Opposite response of strong and moderate positive Indian Ocean Dipole to global warming. Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-00943-1 | Full paper
  • Cavicchia L, Pepler A, Dowdy A, Evans J, Di Luca A, Walsh K. 2020. Future changes in the occurrence of hybrid cyclones: The added value of cyclone classification for the east Australian low-pressure systems. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL085751 | Accepted version. An edited version of this paper was published by John Wiley and Sons. Copyright 2020 | Abstract
  • Chapman C.C, Lea M, Meyer A. et al. 2020. Defining Southern Ocean fronts and their influence on biological and physical processes in a changing climate. Nature Climate Change, 10, 209-219, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-0705-4 | Full paper
  • Colman RA, Soldatenko S. 2020. Understanding the links between climate feedbacks, variability and change using a two-layer energy balance model. Climate Dynamics, 54, 3441–3459, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05189-3 | Full paper
  • Delage FPD and Power SB. 2020. The impact of global warming and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in Australia. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05235-0 | Full paper
  • Dhame S, Taschetto AS, Santoso A, Meissner KJ. 2020. Indian Ocean warming modulates global atmospheric circulation trends. Climate Dymanics, 55, 2052-2073, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05369-1 | Full paper
  • Dias FB, Fiedler R, Marsland SJ, et al. 2020. Ocean Heat Storage in Response to Changing Ocean Circulation Processes. Journal of Climate, 13(21), pp ‏ 1-18 doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1016.1 | Full paper
  • Dias FB, Domingues CM, Marsland SJ, Griffies SM, Rintoul SR, Matear R, Fiedler R, 2020. On the superposition of mean advective and eddy-induced transports in global ocean heat and salt budgets, Journal of Climate, 33, pp. 1121-1140, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0418.1 | Full paper
  • Di Virgilio G, Evans JP, Clarke H, Sharples J, Hirsch A, Hart MA. 2020. Climate change significantly alters future wildfire mitigation opportunities in south eastern Australia. Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088893 | Abstract
  • Di Virgilio G, Evans JP, Di Luca A, Grose MR, Round V, Thatcher M. 2020. Realised added value in dynamical downscaling of Australian climate change. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05250-1 | Full paper
  • Dowdy AJ. 2020. Climatology of thunderstorms, convective rainfall and dry lightning environments in Australia. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05167-9 | Full paper
  • Dowdy AJ. 2020. Seamless climate change projections and seasonal predictions for bushfires in Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 70(1), pp.120-138. doi:10.1071/ES20001 | Full paper
  • Dowdy AJ, Soderholm J, Brook J, Brown A, McGowan H. 2020. Quantifying hail and lightning risk factors using long‐term observations around Australia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:10.1029/2020JD033101 | Full paper
  • Du Y, Zhang Y, Zhang LY, Tozuka T, Ng B, Cai W. 2020. Thermocline warming induced extreme Indian Ocean dipole in 2019. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(18), doi:10.1029/2020GL090079 | Full paper
  • Echevarria ER, Hemer MA, Holbrook NJ, Marshall AG. 2020. Influence of the Pacific‐South American Modes on the Global Spectral Wind‐Wave Climate. JGR-Oceans, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016354 | Full paper
  • Freund MB, Brown JR, Henley BJ, Karoly DJ, Brown JN. 2020. Warming patterns affect El Niño diversity in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0890.1 | Abstract
  • Geng T, Cai W, Wu L. 2020. Two types of ENSO varying in tandem facilitated by nonlinear atmospheric convection. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088784 | Abstract
  • Grose MR et al. 2020. Insights from CMIP6 for Australia’s Future Climate. Earth’s Future, 8(5), doi: 10.1029/2019EF001469 | Full paper
  • Grose MR, Black MT, Wang G, King AD, Hope P, Karoly DJ. 2020. The warm and extremely dry spring in 2015 in Tasmania contained the fingerprint of human influence on the climate. J. South. Hemisph. Earth Syst. Sci. doi:10.22499/3.6901.011 | Full paper
  • Hill, R et al. 2020. Knowledge co-production for Indigenous adaptation pathways: Transform post-colonial articulation complexes to empower local decision-making, Global Environmental Change, 65, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102161 | Full paper
  • Holbrook NJ, et al. 2020: Keeping pace with marine heatwaves. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment. doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0068-4 | Full paper
  • Hong Y, Du Y, Qu T, Zhang Y, Cai W. 2020. Variability of the subantarctic mode water volume in the South Indian Ocean during 2004–2018. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2020GL087830 | Abstract
  • Jackson et al. 2020. Increasing anthropogenic methane emissions arise equally from agricultural and fossil fuel sources. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (7), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9ed2 | Full paper
  • Kirono DGC, Round V, Heady C, Chiew FHS, Osbourgh S. 2020. Drought projections for Australia: Updated results and analysis of model simulations. Weather and Climate Extremes, 30,doi:10.1016/j.wace.2020.100280 | Full paper
  • Konlechner TM, et al. 2020. Mapping spatial variability in shoreline change hotspots from satellite data; a case study in southeast Australia. Estuarine Coastal And Shelf Science, doi: 10.1016/j.ecss.2020.107018 | Full paper
  • Le Quéré C, Jackson RB, Jones MW. et al. 2020. Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement. Nature Climate Change, 10, 647–653, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-0797-x | Full paper
  • Le Quere et al. 2021. Fossil fuel CO2 emissions in the pre-COVID era. Nature Climate Change. 11, pp 197-199, doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01001-0 | Full paper
  • Lemos, G., M. Menendez, A. Semedo, P. Camus, M. Hemer, M. Dobrynin, and P. Miranda, 2020. On the need of bias correction methods for wave climate projections. Global and Planetary Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103109 | Abstract
  • Li Z, NJ Holbrook, X Zhang, ECJ Oliver and EA Cougnon, 2020. Remote forcing of Tasman Sea marine heatwaves. Journal of Climate, 33, pp. 5337-5354, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0641.1 | Full paper
  • McKenna S, Santoso A, Sen Gupta A, Taschetto A, Cai W. 2020. Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 and CMIP6: Characteristics, biases, and links to ENSO. Scientific Reports, 10 (11500), doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-68268-9 | Full paper
  • Mathew et al. 2020. Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy, Nature Geoscience, 13, pp 769–779, doi: 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3 | Abstract
  • Melet A, Almar R, Hemer M, Le Cozannet G, Meyssignac B, Ruggiero P. 2020. Contribution of Wave Setup to Projected Coastal Sea Level Changes. JGR-Oceans, doi:10.1029/2020JC016078 | Full paper
  • Meucci A, Young IR, Hemer M, Kirezci E, Ranasinghe Roshanka. 2020. Projected 21st century changes in extreme wind-wave events, Science Advances, 6(24), doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz7295 | Full paper
  • Morim, Hemer et al., 2020. Skill and uncertainty in surface wind fields from general circulation models: Intercomparison of bias between AGCM, AOGCM and ESM global simulations. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.6357 | Abstract
  • Morim J, Trenham C, Hemer M. et al. 2020. A global ensemble of ocean wave climate projections from CMIP5-driven models. Scientific Data, 7, 105, doi:10.1038/s41597-020-0446-2 | Full paper
  • Morris RL, Boxshall A, and Swearer SE. 2020. Climate-resilient coasts require diverse defence solutions. Nature Climate Change, 10, 485–487, doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0798-9 | Full paper
  • Morris RL, Hale R, Strain EMA, Reeves SE, Vergés A, Marzinelli EM, Layton C, Shelamoff V, Graham TDJ, Chevalier M, Swearer SE. 2020. Key Principles for Managing Recovery of Kelp Forests through Restoration. BioScience, biaa058 doi: 10.1093/biosci/biaa058 | Full paper
  • Morris RL, Graham TDJ, Kelvin J, Ghisalberti M, Swearer SS. 2020. Kelp beds as coastal protection: wave attenuation of Ecklonia radiata in a shallow coastal bay, Annals of Botany, Volume 125 (2), 235–246, doi:10.1093/aob/mcz127 | Full paper
  • Narsey SY, Brown JR, Colman R, Delage F, Power S, Moise A, Zhang H. 2020. Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 models. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2019GL086816 | Accepted version. An edited version of this paper was published by John Wiley & Sons. Copyright 2020 John Wiley & Sons | Abstract
  • Ng, B. et al. 2020. Impacts of low-frequency internal climate variability and greenhouse warming on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0232.1 | Abstract
  • Nguyen H, Otkin JA, Wheeler MC, Hope P, Trewin B, Pudmenzky C. 2020. Climatology and variability of the evaporative stress index and its suitability as a tool to monitor Australian drought. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 21, pp. 2309–2324, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-20-0042.1 | Abstract
  • Pan S, Pan N, Tian H, Friedlingstein P, Sitch S, Shi H, Arora VK, Haverd V, Jain AK, Kato E, Lienert S, Lombardozzi D, Nabel JEMS, Ottlé C, Poulter B, Zaehle S, Running SW. 2020. Evaluation of global terrestrial evapotranspiration using state-of-the-art approaches in remote sensing, machine learning and land surface modeling, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24 (3), pp. 1485-1509, doi:10.5194/hess-24-1485-2020 | Full paper
  • Patel RS, Llort J, Strutton PG, Phillips HE, Moreau S, Conde Pardo P, Lenton A. 2020. The biogeochemical structure of Southern Ocean mesoscale eddies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125 (8), 1-24 , doi: 10.1029/2020JC016115 | Abstract
  • Pellichero V, Boutin J, Claustre H, Merlivat L, Sallée JB, Blain S. 2020. Relaxation of wind stress drives the abrupt onset of biological carbon uptake in the Kerguelen bloom: A multisensor approach. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:e2019GL085992 | Full paper
  • Pepler A. 2020. Record lack of cyclones in southern Australia during 2019. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088488 | Abstract
  • Pepler A and Dowdy A. 2020. A Three-Dimensional Perspective on Extratropical Cyclone Impacts. Journal of Climate, 33, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0445.1 | Full paper
  • Raavi PH and Walsh KJE. 2020. Sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to resolution-dependent and independent tracking schemes in high-resolution climate model simulations. Earth and Space Science Journal, 7(3), doi:10.1029/2019EA000906 | Full paper
  • Raavi PH and Walsh KJE. 2020. Basinwise Statistical Analysis of Factors Limiting Tropical Storm Formation From an Initial Tropical Circulation. JGR Atmospheres. 125(11), doi: 10.1029/2019JD032006 | Full paper
  • Ramsay HA, Singh MS, Chavas DR. 2020. Response of tropical cyclone formation and intensification rates to climate warming in idealized simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12(10), doi:10.1029/2020MS002086  | Full paper
  • Rashid HA. 2020. Factors affecting ENSO predictability in a linear empirical model of tropical air-sea interactions. Science Reports, 10(1), 3931, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-60371-1 | Full paper
  • Rathore S, Bindoff NL, Phillips HE, Feng M. 2020. Recent hemispheric asymmetry in global ocean warming induced by climate change and internal variability. Nature Communications, doi:10.1038/s41467-020-15754-3 | Full paper
  • Rathore S, Bindoff N, Ummenhofer CC, Phillips HE, Feng M. 2020. Near-Surface Salinity Reveals the Oceanic Sources of Moisture for Australian Precipitation through Atmospheric Moisture Transport. Journal of Climate, (13), pp. 6707-6730, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0579.1 | Full paper
  • Rauniyar S and Power S. 2020. The Impact of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Processes on Past, Present, and Future Rainfall over Victoria, Australia, Journal of Climate, 33 (18), pp. 8087-8106, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0759.1 | Full paper
  • Shimura T, Hemer M, Lenton A, Chamberlain MA, Monselesan D. 2020. Impacts of Ocean Wave‐Dependent Momentum Flux on Global Ocean Climate. Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2020GL089296 | Abstract
  • SIMIP Community. 2020. Arctic sea ice in CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086749 | Full paper
  • Silvano A, Foppert A, Rintoul SR, Holland PR, Tamura T, Kimura N, Castagno P, Flaco P, Budillon, Haumann FA, Naveira Garabato AC, Macdonald AM. 2020. Recent recovery of Antarctic Bottom Water formation in the Ross Sea driven by climate anomalies, Nature Geoscience, 13, pp 780–78, doi:10.1038/s41561-020-00655-3 | Abstract
  • Smith GA, Hemer M, Greenslade D, Trenham C, Zieger S, Durrant T. 2020. Global wave hindcast with Australian and Pacific Island Focus: From past to present. Geoscience Data Journal, doi:10.1002/gdj3.104 | Full paper
  • Stewart KD, Hogg Amc, England MH. 2020. Response of the Southern Ocean Overturning Circulation to Extreme Southern Annular Mode Conditions, Geophysical Research Letters, 47(22), doi:10.1029/2020GL091103 | Accepted version. An edited version is published by American Geophysical Union | Abstract
  • Stewart KD, Kim WM, Urakawa S, Hogg AMcC, Yeager S, Tsujino H, Nakano H, Kiss AE, Danabasoglu G. 2020. JRA55-do-based repeat year forcing datasets for driving ocean–sea-ice models. Ocean Modelling, Volume 147, doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.101557 | Abstract
  • Thomas G, Purkey SG, Roemmich D, Foppert A, Rintoul SR. 2020. Spatial Variability of Antarctic Bottom Water in the Australian Antarctic Basin from 2018-2020 captured by Deep Argo. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2020GL089467 | Full paper
  • Tory KJ and Kepert JD. 2020.Pyrocumulonimbus Firepower Threshold: Assessing the Atmospheric Potential for pyroCb. Weather and forecasting. pp. 439–456, doi:10.1175/WAF | Full paper
  • Vaughan A, Walsh KJE, Kepert JD. 2020. The stationary banding complex and secondary eyewall formation in tropical cyclones. JGR Atmospheres, 125(6), doi:10.1029/2019JD031515 | Full paper
  • Wallace LO, van Wijk EM, Rintoul SR, Hally B. 2020. Bathymetry‐constrained navigation of Argo floats under sea ice on the Antarctic continental shelf. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(11), doi: 10.1029/2020GL087019 | Abstract
  • Wang GJ and Cai WJ. 2020. Two-year consecutive concurrences of positive Indian Ocean Dipole and Central Pacific El Nino preconditioned the 2019/2020 Australian “black summer” bushfires. Geoscience Letters, 7(19), doi:10.1186/s40562-020-00168-2 | Full paper
  • Wang GJ, Cai WJ, Yang K, Santoso A, Yamagata T. 2020. A unique feature of the 2019 extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole event. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(18), 1-9, doi:10.1029/2020GL088615 | Full paper
  • Warren RA,  Ramsay HA,  Siems ST, et al.  2020. Radar‐based climatology of damaging hailstorms in Brisbane and Sydney, Australia. QJR Meteorol Soc., 146: 505– 530, doi:10.1002/qj.3693 | Full paper
  • Warren RA, Singh MS, Jakob C. 2020. Simulations of radiative-convective-dynamical equilibrium. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, doi:10.1029/2019MS001734 | Full paper
  • Xu Y, Zhang H, Liu Y, Han Z, Zhou B. 2020. Atmospheric rivers in the Australia–Asian region under current and future climate in CMIP5 models. J. South. Hemisph. Earth Syst. Sci. doi:10.1071/ES19044 | Full paper
  • Yang K, Cai W, Huang G, Wang G, Ng B, Li S. 2020. Oceanic processes in ocean temperature products key to a realistic presentation of positive Indian Ocean Dipole nonlinearity. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(16), doi:10.1029/2020GL089396 | Full paper
  • Yun JM, Jeong SJ, Ho CH, Park HY, et al. 2020. Enhanced regional terrestrial carbon uptake over Korea revealed by atmospheric CO2 measurements from 1999 to 2017. Global Change Biology, 26:3368–3383, doi:10.1111/gcb.15061 | Abstract
  • Zheng et al. 2020. Microbial dynamics and soil physicochemical properties explain large scale variations in soil organic carbon. Global Change Biology, 26(4), pp2668-2685, doi:10.1111/gcb.14994 | Abstract
  • Zhu HY and Smith R. 2020. A case-study of a tropical low over northern Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,146, pp 1702-18, doi::10.1002/qj.3762 | Full paper
  • Ziehn T, Chamberlain MA, Law RM, Lenton A, Bodman RW, Dix M, Stevens L, Wang YP, Srbinovsky J. 2020. The Australian Earth System Model: ACCESS-ESM1.5, Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 70(1) pp. 193-214, doi: 10.1071/ES19035 | Full paper

2019

  • Abhik S, Hendon HH. 2019. Influence of the QBO on the MJO during coupled model multiweek forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 9213– 9221, doi:10.1029/2019GL083152 | Full paper
  • Abhik S, Hendon HH, Wheeler MC. 2019. On the Sensitivity of Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves to the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 32, 5833–5847, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0010.1 | Full paper
  • Ashcroft L, Dowdy AJ, Karoly DJ. 2019. Historical extreme rainfall events in southeastern Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100210 | Full paper
  • Bell SS, Chand SS, Camargo SJ, Tory KJ, Turville C. 2019. Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Tracks in CMIP5 Models: Statistical Assessment Using a Model-Independent Detection and Tracking Scheme. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0785.1 | Full paper
  • Bell SS, Chand SS, Tory KJ, Turville C, Ye H. 2019. Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in historical and future CMIP5 experiments: assessment with a model-independent tracking scheme. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-019-04830-0 | Full paper
  • Bordbar MH, England MH, Sen Gupta A, Santoso A, Taschetto AS, Martin T, Park W, Latif M. 2019. Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability. Nature Communications, 10, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09761-2 | Full paper
  • Cai WJ, Wu L, Lengaigne M, Li T, McGregor S, Kun JS, Stuecker MF, Santoso A, Li X, Ham YG, Chikamoro Y, Ng B, McPhaden MJ, Du Y, Dommenget D, Jia F, Kajtar JB, Keenlyside N, Lin X, Luo JJ, Martin-Rey M, Ruprich-Robert Y, Wang GJ, Xie SP, Yang Y, Kang SM, Choi JY, Gan B, Kim GI, Kim CE, KiM SY, Kim, JH, Chang P. 2019. Pantropical climate interactions. Science, 363(6430), doi: 10.1126/science.aav4236 | Full paper
  • Carter BR, Feely RA, Wanninkhof R, Kouketsu S, Sonnerup RE, Pardo PC, Sabine CL, Johnson GC, Sloyan BM, Murata A, Mecking S, Tilbrook B, Speer K, Talley LD, Millero FJ, Wijffels, Macdonald AM, Gruber N, Bullister JL. 2019. Pacific Anthropogenic Carbon between 1991 and 2017. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, doi: 10.1029/2018GB006154 | Full paper
  • Cavicchia L, Pepler A, Dowdy A and Walsh K. 2019. A physically-based climatology of Australian east coast lows occurrence and intensification. Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0549 | Full paper
  • Chand SS, Dowdy AJ, Ramsay HA, Walsh KJE, Tory KJ, Power SB, Bell SS, Lavender SL, Ye H, Kuleshov Y. 2019. Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: Climatology, variability, predictability, and trends. Advanced Review, doi:10.1002/wcc.602 | This is the peer-reviewed version, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.
  • Cernusak LA, Haverd V, Brendel O, Thiec DL, Guehl JM, Cuntz M. 2019. Robust response of terrestrial plants to rising CO2. Trends in Plant Science, 24(7), pp. 578-586, doi: 10.1016/j.tplants.2019.04.003 | Pre-print version.  An edited version of this paper was published by Elsevier Ltd. Copyright 2019 Elsevier Ltd. | Abstract
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2018

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  • Cai W, Wang G, Gan B, Wu L, Santoso A, Lin X, Chen Z, Jia F, Yamagata T. 2018. Stabilised frequency of extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole under 1.5 degrees C warming. Nature Communications, 9, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03789-6 | Full paper
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  • Oliver TSN, Kennedy DM, Tamura T, Murray-Wallace CV, Konlechner TM, Augustinus PC, Woodroffe CD. 2018. Interglacial-glacial climatic signatures preserved in a regressive coastal barrier, southeastern Australia, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 501, 124 – 135, doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2018.04.011 | Full paper
  • Palmer MD, Boyer T, Cowley R, Kizu S, Reseghetti F, Suzuki T, Thresher, A. 2018. An Algorithm for Classifying Unknown Expendable Bathythermograph (XBT) Instruments Based on Existing Metadata. Journal of Atmospheric Oceanic Technology, 35, 429–440. doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0129.1 | Full paper
  • Pepler AS, Dowdy AJ, Hope P. 2018. A global climatology of surface anticyclones, their variability, associated drivers and long-term trends, Climate Dynamics, doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4451-5 | Full paper
  • Pepler AS, & Hope P. 2018. Orography Drives the Semistationary West Australian Summer Trough, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2018GL079312 | Full paper
  • Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE, King AD, Cougnon EA, Grose MR, Oliver ECJ, Holbrook NJ, Lewis SC, Pourasghar F. 2018. The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1 | Full paper
  • Power SB and Delage FPD. 2018a. El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Associated Climatic Conditions around the World during the Latter Half of the Twenty-First Century. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0138.1 | Full paper
  • Raes EJ, Bodrossy L, van de Kamp J, Bissett A, Ostrowski M, Brown M, Sow SLS, Sloyan B, Waite AM. 2018. Oceanographic boundaries constrain microbial diversity gradients in the South Pacific Ocean. PNAS, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1719335115 | Full paper
  • Ramsay HA, Chand SS, Camargo SJ. 2018. A statistical assessment of Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone tracks in climate models, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0377.1 | Full paper
  • Rintoul SR, 2018. The global influence of localized dynamics in the Southern Ocean, Nature, 558, 209-218, doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0182-3 | Pre-print version. An edited version of this paper was published by Springer Nature Publishing AG. Copyright 2018 Springer Nature Publishing AG | Abstract
  • Rintoul SR, Chown SL, DeConto RM, England MH, Fricker HA, Masson-Delmotte V, Naish TR, Siegert MJ, Xavier JC. 2018. Choosing the future of Antarctica. Nature, 558, 233-241, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4 | Pre-print version. An edited version of this paper was published by Springer Nature Publishing AG. Copyright 2018 Springer Nature Publishing AG | Abstract
  • Risbey JS, O’Kane TJ, Monselesan DP, Franzke CLE, Horenko I. 2018. On the Dynamics of Austral Heat Waves. Journal of Geophysical Research—Atmospheres, 123(1), 38-57, doi: 10.1002/2017jd027222 | Full paper
  • Santoso A, Hendon H, Watkins A, Power S, Dommenget D, England M, Frankcombe L, Holbrook N, Holmes R, Hope, P Lim, E-P, Luo J-J, McGregor S, Neske S, Nguyen H, Pepler A, Rashid H, Sen Gupta A, Taschetto AS, Wang G, Abellán E, Sullivan A, Huguenin M, Gamble F, Delage F. 2018. Dynamics and predictability of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: An Australian perspective on progress and challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0057.1 | Full paper
  • Sharmila, S. and K.J.E. Walsh. 2018. Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation and its link to tropical expansion. Nature Climate Change, 8, 730-736, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0227-5 | Pre-print version. An edited version of this paper was published by Springer Nature Publishing AG. Copyright 2018 Springer Nature Publishing AG | Abstract
  • Silvano A, Rintoul SR , Peña-Molino B, Hobbs WR, Aoki S, Orsi AH and Williams GD. 2018. Freshening by glacial meltwater enhances melting of ice shelves and reduces formation of Antarctic Bottom Water. Science Advances, 4, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aap9467 | Full paper
  • Snow K, Rintoul SR, Sloyan BM & Hogg AM. 2018. Change in Dense Shelf Water and Adelie Land Bottom Water precipitated by iceberg calving. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 2380-2387, doi:10.1002/2017gl076195 | Full paper
  • Timmermann A, An S, Kug J, Jin F, Cai W, Capotondi A, Cobb K, Lengaigne M, McPhaden MJ, Stuecker MF, Stein K, Wittenberg AT, Yun K, Bayr T, Chen H, Chikamoto Y, Dewitte B, Dommenget D, Grothe P, Guilyardi E, Ham Y, Hayashi M, Ineson S, Kang D, Kim S, Kim W, Lee J, Li T, Luo J, McGregor S, Planton Y, Power SB, Rashid H, Ren H, Santoso A, Takahashi K, Todd A, Wang GM, Wang GJ, Xie R, Yang H, Yeh S, Yoon J, Zeller E, Zhang X. 2018. El Niño–Southern Oscillation complexity. Nature, 559, 535-545, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6 | Pre-print version. An edited version of this paper was published by Springer Nature Publishing AG. Copyright 2018 Springer Nature Publishing AG | Abstract
  • Trudinger C, Haverd V, Canadell P, Briggs P, Smith B. 2018. Model-data fusion framework to assess the vulnerability of Australian carbon stocks and water resources, EGU General Assembly 2018. Geophysical Research Abstracts | Abstract
  • von Storch H, Cavicchia L, Feser F, Li D. 2018. The Concept of Large‐Scale Conditioning of Climate Model Simulations of Atmospheric Coastal Dynamics: Current State and Perspectives. Atmosphere 9, 337, doi:10.3390/atmos9090337 | Full paper
  • Wu Q, Zhang X, Church JA, Hu J. 2018. ENSO-related Global Ocean Heat Content Variations, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1 | Full paper
  • Wu W, McInnes KL, O’Grady J, Hoeke RK, Leonard M, Westra S. 2018. Mapping dependence between extreme rainfall and storm surge, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2017JC013472 | Full paper
  • Zhang Y, Feng M, Du Y, Phillips HE, Bindoff NL, McPhaden MJ. 2018. Strengthened Indonesian throughflow drives decadal warming in the Southern Indian Ocean. Geographical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2018GL078265 | Full paper

2017

  • Aoki S, Kobayashi R, Rintoul SR, Tamura T, Kusahara K. 2017. Changes in water properties and flow regime on the continental shelf off the Adélie/George VLand coast, East Antarctica, after glacier tongue calving, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, 6277-6294, doi:10.1002/2017jc012925 | Full paper
  • Abellán E, McGregor S, England M, Santoso A. 2017. Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015-16 El Nino. Climate Dynamics, 1-18, doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0 | Full paper
  • Bates B, Dowdy AJ, Chandler R, 2017. Lightning Prediction for Australia Using Multivariate Analyses of Large-Scale Atmospheric Variables, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57, 525-534, doi: 10.1175/jamc-d-17-0214.1 | Full paper
  • Brown JR, Moise AF, Colman RA. 2017. Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 5683–5690, doi:10.1002/2017GL073217 | Full paper
  • Cai WJ, Wang GJ, Santoso A, Lin XP, Wu LX. 2017. Definition of Extreme El Nino and Its Impact on Projected Increase in Extreme El Nino Frequency. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 11184-11190, doi: 10.1002/2017gl075635 | Full paper
  • Chen X, Zhang X, Church JA, King MA, Watson CS, Monselesan D, Legresy B, Harig C. 2017. The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993–2014. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate3325 | Pre-print version. An edited version of this paper was published by Springer Nature Publishing AG. Copyright 2017 Springer Nature Publishing AG | Abstract
  • Cheng L, Zhang L, Wang Y-P, Canadell JG, Chiew FHS, Beringer J, Li L, Miralles DG, Piao S, Zhang Y. 2017. Recent increases in terrestrial carbon uptake at little cost to the water cycle, Nature Communications, 8, doi:10.1038/s41467-017-00114-5 | Full paper
  • Chiew FHS, Zheng H, Potter NJ, Ekstrom M, Grose MR, Kirono DGC, Zhang L, Vaze J. 2017.  Future runoff projections for Australia and science challenges in producing next generation projections. Proceedings of the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, December 2017, pp. 1745–1751 | Conference proceedings
  • Chung C, Power SB. 2017. The non-linear impact of El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation on seasonal and regional Australian precipitation. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 67(1), 25–45, doi:10.22499/3.6701.003 | Full paper
  • Chung C and Power S. 2017. Multi-year variability in the Tasman sea and impacts on Southern Hemisphere climate in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0862.1 | Full paper
  • Cougnon EA, Galton-Fenzi BK, Rintoul SR, Legresy B, Williams GD, Fraser AD, Hunter JR, 2017. Regional Changes in Icescape Impact Shelf Circulation and Basal Melting. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 11, 519–11, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074943 | Full paper
  • Dowdy A. 2017. Climatological variability of fire weather in Australia. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0167.1 | Full paper
  • Dowdy AJ, Catto JL. 2017. Extreme weather caused by concurrent cyclone, front and thunderstorm occurrences. Scientific Reports, 7, 40359, doi:10.1038/srep40359 | Full paper
  • Dowdy AJ, Fromm MD, McCarthy N. 2017. Pyrocumulonimbus lightning and fire ignition on Black Saturday in southeast Australia. Journal of Geophysical Research—Atmospheres. 122(14), 7342-7354, doi: 10.1002/2017JD026577 | Full paper
  • Dowdy A, Ye H, Tory K, Jones D, Evans A, Lavender S, Thatcher M, Rafter T, Osbrough S, Walsh K, Cavicchia L, Evans J, Catto J. 2017. Extreme weather: improved data Extreme weather: improved data products on bushfires, thunderstorms, tropical cyclones and east coast lows. In: Rumsewicz, I.M. (Ed.), Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC & AFAC conference. Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, Sydney, | Full paper
  • Gao L, Rintoul SR, Yu W, 2018. Recent wind-driven changes in Subantarctic Mode Water and its impact on ocean heat storage. Nature Climate Change, 8, 58 | Full paper
  • Greene CA, Blankenship DD, Gwyther DE, Silvano A, van Wijk E. 2017. Wind causes Totten Ice Shelf melt and accelaration. Science Advances, 3, 11, e1701681, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1701681| Full paper
  • Grose MR, Black M, Risbey JS, Uhe P, Hope PK, Haustein K, Mitchell D. 2017. Severe frosts in Western Australia in September 2016. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/bams-D-17-0088.1 | Full paper
  • Haverd V, Smith B, Nieradzik L, Briggs PR, Woodgate W, Trudinger, CM, Canadell JG. 2017. A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4546), incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of electron transport and carboxylation capacity-limited photosynthesis. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 1-33, doi: 10.5194/gmd-2017-265 | Full paper
  • Herold N, Santoso A. 2017. Indian Ocean warming during peak El Nino cools surrounding land masses. Climate Dynamics, 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-4001-6 |  Full paper
  • Hope P, Lim E-P, Hendon H, Wang G. 2017. The effects of increasing CO2 on the extreme September 2016 rainfall across South Eastern Australia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0094.1 | Full paper
  • Jackson RB, Le Quéré C, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Peters GP, Roy J, Wu L. 2017. Warning signs for stabilizing global CO2 emissions. Environmental Research Letters 12, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9662 | Full paper
  • Kennedy DM, Konlechner T, Zavadil E, Mariani M, Wong V, Ierodiaconou D, Macreadie P. 2017. Invasive cordgrass (Spartina spp.) in south-eastern Australia induces island formation, salt marsh development, and carbon storage. Geographical Research, 56(1), 80-91, doi: 10.1111/1745-5871.12265 | Full paper
  • Kirono DGC, Grose MR, Hennessy KJ. 2017. Increasing risk of months with low rainfall and high temperature in southeast Australia for the past 150 years. Climate Risk Management, 16, 10–21, doi:10.1016/j.crm.2017.04.001 | Full paper
  • Langlais C, Lenton A, Matear R, Monselesan D, Legresy B, Cougnon E, Rintoul SR. 2017. Stationary Rossby waves dominate subduction of anthropogenic carbon in the Southern Ocean. Stationary Rossby waves dominate subduction of anthropogenic carbon in the Southern Ocean. Scientific Reports, 7, 17076,  doi:10.1038/s41598-017-17292-3 | Full paper
  • Le Cozannet G, Nicholls RJ, Hinkel J, Sweet WV, McInnes KL, Van de Wal RSW, Slangen ABA, Lowe JA, White KD. 2017. Sea level change and coastal climate services: the way forward. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 5(4), 49, doi:10.3390/jmse5040049 | Full paper
  • Luhar AK, Galbally IE, Woodhouse MT, Thatcher M. 2017. An improved parameterisation of ozone dry deposition to the ocean and its impact in a global climate-chemistry model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17, 3749-3767, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-3749-2017 | Full paper
  • Lyu K, Zhang X, Church JA, Hu J, Yu J-Y.  2017 Distinguishing basin-scale modes of the quasi-decadal and multi-decadal sea level variations in the Pacific, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0004.1 | Full paper
  • McCarthy N, Guyot A, Dowdy A, 2017. The Use of Spectrum Width Radar Data for Bushfire Model Verification, Proceedings of the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, December 2017, pp. 1131-1137 | Conference proceedings
  • McCarthy N, McGowan H, Guyot A, Dowdy A, 2017. Mobile X-Pol radar: A new tool for investigating pyroconvection and associated wildfire meteorology, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/bams-d-16-0118.1 | Full paper
  • Nguyen H, Protat A, Zhu HY, Whimpey M. 2017. Sensitivity of the ACCESS forecast model statistical rainfall properties to resolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143, 1967-1977, doi: 10.1002/qj.3056 | Full paper
  • O’Kane TJ, Monselesan DP, Risbey JS, Horenko I, Franzke CLE. 2017. On memory, dimension, and atmospheric teleconnections. Mathematics of Climate and Weather Forecasting, 3(1), 1–27, doi:10.1515/mcwf-2017-0001 | Full paper
  • O’Kane TJ, Monselesan DP, Risbey JS. 2017. A Multiscale Reexamination of the Pacific-South American Pattern. Monthly Weather Review, 145, 379-402, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0291.1 | Full paper
  • Oliver ECJ, Benthuysen JA, Bindoff NL, Hobday AJ, Holbrook NJ, Mundy CN, Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE. 2017. The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave. Nature Communications, 8, 16101, doi:10.1038/ncomms16101 | Full paper
  • Oliver ECJ, Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE, Holbrook NJ, Bindoff NL. 2017. Anthropogenic and natural influences on record 2016 marine heatwaves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1 | Full paper
  • Pepler AS, Di Luca A, Evans JP. 2017. Independently assessing the representation of midlatitude cyclones in high-resolution reanalyses using satellite observed winds. International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.5245 | Full paper
  • Pardo PC, Tilbrook B, Langlais C, Trull TW, Rintoul SR, 2017. Carbon uptake and biogeochemical change in the Southern Ocean, south of Tasmania. Biogeosciences, doi:10.5194/bg-14-5217-2017 | Full paper
  • Peters GP, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Fuss S, Jackson RB, Korsbakken JI, Le Quéré C, Nakicenovic N. 2017. Key indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement. Nature Climate Change, 7, 118–122, doi:10.1038/nclimate3202 | Full paper
  • Peters GP, Le Quéré C, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Friedlingstein P, Ilyina T, Jackson RB, Joos F, Korsbakken JI, McKinley GA, Stich S, Tans, P. 2017. Towards real-time verification of CO2 emissions, Nature Climate Change, 7, 848-850, doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0013-9 | Full paper
  • Poulter B, et al. 2017. Global wetland contribution to 2000–2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics. Environmental Research Letters, 12(9), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8391 | Full paper
  • Power SB, Delage FPD, Chung CTY, Ye H and Murphy BF. 2017. Humans have already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall. Nature Communications, 8, 14368, doi:10.1038/ncomms14368 | Full paper
  • Power SB, Delage FPD, Wang GM, Smith I, Kociuba G. 2017. Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections. Climate Dynamics, 49, 53-69, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3326-x | Full paper
  • Risbey JS, Grose MR, Monselesan DP, O’Kane TJ, Lewandowsky S. 2017. Transient response of the global mean warming rate and its spatial variation. Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.002 | Full paper
  • Santoso A, McPhaden MJ, Cai W. 2017. The Defining Characteristics of ENSO Extremes and the Strong 2015/2016 El Niño. Reviews of Geophysics, 55(4), 1079-1129, doi:10.1002/2017rg000560 | Full paper
  • Saunois M, et al. 2017.  Variability and quasi-decadal changes in the methane budget over the period 2000–2012, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17, 11135-11161, doi:10.5194/acp-17-11135-2017 | Full paper
  • Silvano A, Rintoul SR, Peña-Molino B, Williams GD. 2017. Distribution of water masses and glacial meltwater on the continental shelf near the Totten Glacier. Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans, 122, 2050–2068, doi:10.1002/2016JC012115 | Full paper
  • Tory KJ, Ye H, Dare RA. 2017. Understanding the geographic distribution of tropical cyclone formation for applications in climate models. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3752-4 | Full paper
  • Wang G, Cai W, Gan B, Wu L, Santoso A, Lin X, Chen Z, McPhaden MJ. 2017. Continued increase of extreme El Niño frequency long after 1.5°C warming stabilisation. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate3351 | Full paper
  • Wang G, Cai W, Santoso A. 2017. Assessing the impact of model biases on projected increase in frequency of extrme positive Indian Ocean Dipole events, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0509.1 | Full paper
  • Wheeler MC, Zhu HY, Sobel AH, Hudson D, Vitart F. 2017. Seamless precipitation prediction skill comparison between two global models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143, 374-383, doi:10.1002/qj.2928 | Full paper
  • Wu Q, Zhang X, Church JA, Hu J. 2017 Changes and variability of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific during the altimeter era, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1002/2016JC012345 | Full paper
  • Zhang H, Zhao Y, Moise A, Ye H, Colman R, Roff G, Zhao M. 2017. On the influence of simulated SST warming on rainfall projections in the Indo-Pacific domain: an AGCM study. Climate Dynamics, 1-19,  doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3690-1 | Full paper
  • Zhang X, Church JA, Monselesan D, McInnes KL. 2017. High Resolution Sea Level Projections for Australian Coasts in the 21st Century. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074176 | Full paper
  • Zhou XB, Alves O, Marsland SJ, Bi DH, Hirst AC. 2017. Multi-decadal variations of the South Indian Ocean subsurface temperature influenced by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69, doi:10.1080/16000870.2017.1308055 | Full paper
  • Zhu HY, Maloney E, Hendon H, Stratton R. 2017. Effects of the changing heating profile associated with melting layers in a climate model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143, 3110-3121, doi:10.1002/qj.3166 | Full paper

2016

  • Chand SS, Tory KJ, Ye H, Walsh KJE. 2016. Projected increase in El Niño-driven tropical cyclone frequency in the Pacific. Nature Climate Change, 7, 123–129, doi:10.1038/nclimate3181 | Full paper
  • Griffies SM et al. 2016. OMIP contribution to CMIP6: experimental and diagnostic protocol for the physical component of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3231–3296, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3231-2016 | Full paper
  • Grose MR, Risbey JS, Whetton PH. 2016. Tracking regional temperature projections from the early 1990s in light of variations in regional warming, including ‘warming holes’. Climatic Change, 140, 307–322, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1840-9 | Full paper
  • Hope P, Wang G, Lim E-P, Hendon HH, Arblaster JM. 2016. What caused the record-breaking heat across Australia in October 2015? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), S122–S126, doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0141.1 | Full paper
  • Karoly D, Black M, Grose M, King A. 2016. The roles of climate change and El Niño in the record low rainfall in October 2015 in Tasmania, Australia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), S127–S130, doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0139.1 | Full paper
  • Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Canadell JG, Williams CA, Wang H, Raupach M, Collatz GJ. 2016. Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake. Nature Communications, 7, 13428, doi:10.1038/ncomms13428 | Full paper
  • Lago V, Wijffels SE, Durack PJ, Church JA, Bindoff NL, Marsland SJ. 2016. Simulating the Role of Surface Forcing on Observed Multidecadal Upper-Ocean Salinity Changes, Journal of Climate, 29, 5575-5588, doi: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0519.1 | Full paper
  • Lavender SL, Dowdy AJ. 2016. Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region. Journal of Geophysical Research—Atmospheres, 121(22), 13236–13249, doi:10.1002/2016JD025562 | Full paper
  • Le Quéré C, et al. 2016. Global Carbon Budget 2016. Earth System Science Data Discussions, 8, 605–649, doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016 | Full paper
  • McInnes KL, White CJ, Haigh ID, Hemer MA, Hoeke RK, Holbrook NJ, Kiem AS, Oliver ECJ, Ranasinghe R, Walsh KJE, Westra S, Cox R. 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes, Climatic Change, 139, 1 pp 69-83, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8 | Full paper
  • Ng B, Cai WJ, 2016. Present-day zonal wind influences projected Indian Ocean Dipole skewness, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 21, 11392-11399, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071208 | Full paper
  • O’Kane TJ, Monselesan DP, Risbey JS. 2016. A multiscale re-examination of the Pacific South American pattern. Monthly Weather Review, 145, 379–402, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0291.1 | Full paper
  • Rashid HAH, Hirst AC. 2016. Mechanisms of improved rainfall simulation over the Maritime Continent due to increased horizontal resolution in an AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 49, 1747–1764, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3413-z | Full paper
  • Rintoul SR, Silvano A, Pena-Molino B, van Wiyk E, Rosenberg M, Greenbaum JS, Blankenship DD. 2016. Ocean drives rapid basal ice melt of Totten Ice Shelf, Science Advances, 2(12), doi:10.1126/sciadv.1601610 | Full paper
  • Saunois M, et al. 2016. The global methane budget 2000–2012. Earth System Science Data, 8, 697–751, doi:10.5194/essd-8-697-2016 | Full paper
  • Saunois M, et al. 2016. The growing role of methane in anthropogenic climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 120207, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/120207 | Full paper
  • Silvano A, Rintoul SR, Herraiz-Borreguer 2016. Ocean-Ice Shelf Interaction in East Antarctica. Oceanography, 29(4), 130–143 | Full paper