ESCC Hub research have examined the impact of global warming on the frequency of dry conditions over Australia, and how ENSO and global warming combine and interact to cause the dry conditions.
ESCC Hub research over the past three years under Project 2.2 used Australian-developed climate models, such as the Australian Community Climate and Earth-System Simulator (ACCESS) to investigate the role of the Pacific Ocean in global warming, and how changes in the South Pacific Ocean can impact the Tropical Pacific.
ESCC Hub research over the past three years under Project 2.2 has investigated how important Australian climate drivers such as ENSO and the IOD will respond to climate change in the future. They also looked at how the risks of extreme El Niño events may change into the future.
ESCC Hub research over the past three years under Project 2.2 has investigated the causes behind recent extreme climate events, including the contribution of human-caused climate change. The project team has worked to advance the scientific field of ‘detection and attribution’ of extreme events.
In this webinar, Dr Pandora Hope from the Bureau of Meteorology provides an overview of the latest extreme event attribution science, discusses results from a number of case studies across Australia and hints at where future research might lead.
In this webinar, Dr Scott Power discusses significant advances in our understanding of current and future ENSO and rainfall variability based on research undertaken within the ESCC Hub using numerous climate models from around the world.
Climate change affects more than temperature – we’ve also seen the fingerprint of climate change on frosts and extreme rainfall.
Hub researchers found that a major mangrove dieback in the Gulf of Carpentaria in late 2015 was most likely a result of a combination of conditions that were unprecedented since at least 1971, and linked to the strong El Niño of 2015/16.
As strange as it sounds, global warming could actually be increasing the odds of some types of cold extremes in some places.
Global warming has already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall and will continue to do so over coming decades, even if global warming during the 21st century is restricted to 2℃.
While short-term weather patterns and the El Niño contributed to climate extremes in October 2015, climate records would have been substantially less likely to fall without human-induced climate change.